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For nearly as long as the modern computer has existed, it has been used to forecast the weather. First used during World War II to simulate (模拟) nuclear weapons, computers were soon adopted to simulate the future state of the atmosphere, creating the modern discipline of weather prediction. Although that discipline has grown ever more complicated and now produces reliable forecasts several weeks in advance, its approach remains the same: using large amounts of calculating power to solve equations (方程).

Over the past year, artificial intelligence (AI) has begun to change that. Tech companies including Google and Nvidia have trained AI models to predict the weather up to 10 days in advance, with an accuracy equaling or even topping traditional models — and with far less calculation overhead. Rather than solving equations, these AI models predict the near future based on patterns learned through training on 40 years of past weather, which is recorded by the traditional model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), the world’s top weather agency. Once trained, the AI models can work out a forecast on a computer in 1 minute rather than taking 2 hours to run on a supercomputer.

ECMWF has already begun to produce its own AI forecast, and other weather agencies are eager to catch up. The new models aren’t perfect. They struggle to predict certain essential features—hurricane intensity, for example. But AI forecasters will only improve as they begin to learn from direct weather observations collected by sensors, not just data already passed through existing models. Besides, their speed could allow agencies to run them over and over, as they capture in the atmosphere the full spread of uncertainty, be it necessary or unnecessary for weather prediction.

No one expects traditional weather prediction to disappear. Another branch, climate models, an extension of weather forecasting, for example, rely on equation solving just as traditional weather models do. But in the long term, the output of climate models may itself become training data for a climate forecasting AI, which might ultimately do a better job than the traditional models.

【小题1】How do AI models predict weather?
A.By running on a supercomputer.B.By recording traditional models.
C.By working on the existing data.D.By making massive calculations.
【小题2】What is a limitation of AI weather forecasters?
A.They may be overly operated.B.They may be slow to respond.
C.They may confuse natural disasters.D.They may bring unfair competitions.
【小题3】What do we know about climate models?
A.They lack accurate data.B.They need intensive training.
C.They work in a traditional way.D.They determine weather forecasting.
【小题4】What is the best title of the text?
A.How Can AI Aid Atmosphere Study?
B.Should We Trust AI to Predict Hurricanes?
C.Weather Forecast Is Having an AI Moment
D.Tech Giants Are Competing in Data Collection
2024·重庆·二模
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A weather map is an important tool for geographers. A succession of three or four maps presents continuous picture of weather changes. Weather forecasters are able to determine the speed of air masses and fronts (冷暖空气团接触的锋) to determine whether an individual pressure area is deepening or becoming shallow and whether a front is increasing or decreasing in intensity. They are also able to determine whether an air mass is retaining its original characteristics or taking on those of the surface over which it is moving. Thus, a most significant function of the map is to reveal a summary picture of conditions in the atmosphere at a given time.

All students of geography should be able to interpret a weather map accurately. Weather maps contain an enormous amount of information about weather conditions existing at the time of observation over a large geographical area. They reveal in a few minutes what otherwise would take hours to describe. The United States Weather Bureau issues information about approaching storms, floods, frosts and all climatic conditions in general. Twice a month it issues a 30-day “outlook” which is a rough guide to weather conditions likely to occur over broad areas of the United States. These 30-day outlooks are based upon an analysis of the upper air levels which often set the stage for development of air masses, fronts and storms.

Considerable effort is being exerted today to achieve more accurate weather predictions. With the use of electronic instruments and satellites, enormous gains have taken place recently in identifying and tracking storms over regions which have but few meteorological stations (气象站). Experiments are also in progress for weather modification (改变) studies. But the limitations of weather modification have prevented meteorological results except in the seeding of super-cooled, upslope mountainous winds which have produced additional orographic (山岳形态) precipitation on the windward side of mountain ranges. Nevertheless, they have provided a clearer understanding of the fundamentals of weather elements.

【小题1】By reading weather maps, students majoring in geography can .
A.design a project of weather modification
B.interpret the weather condition before the time of observation
C.obtain data on atmospheric conditions over a wide area
D.survey ever-changing fronts in local meteorological stations
【小题2】A thirty-day forecast is determined by examining________.
A.daily weather mapsB.upper air levels
C.satellite reportsD.changing fronts
【小题3】The observation of weather conditions by satellites is helpful because ________.
A.electronic instruments are used
B.it enables man to alert the weather
C.it makes weather more time-consuming
D.information not be obtained readily otherwise can be gained
【小题4】At the present time, experiments are being conducted in________.
A.controlling and influencing weather
B.determining density of pressure groups
C.30-day “outlooks”
D.predicting storms

On the day the tornado(龙卷风) hit, there was no sign fierce weather was on its way— the sky was blue and the sun had been out. The first warning my husband, Jimmy, 67, and I, 65, got came around 9 p.m., from some text on the TV Jimmy was watching. He ran upstairs to find me in our third-floor bedroom, and we changed the channel from the national television to our local Pensacola, Florida, station.

Soon the tornado was on top of us. It was the loudest thing I have ever heard. The bones of the house shook, and the power went out. And the wind began to roar(咆哮) through the house, most likely through blown-out windows and the door to our garage. Everything was moving. And the back wall of the house came off and flew into the darkness outside. We had three flights of steps to get to the storeroom down there, the relative safety of the first floor.

I didn’t know how or if we would make it down the steps. It felt as if there were no floor underneath me as the wind lifted me off my feet. As we finally reached the last flight of steps, our front door blew out. Suddenly, a three-foot-long tree branch flew over our heads, missing us by inches.

By the time I reached the storeroom, the tornado had been over us for about a minute. Jimmy pushed me down to the storeroom floor, but he couldn’t get inside himself because of the wind. I held Jimmy’s arm as the tornado blew the door open. My knees were full of glass, but I felt no pain. If I had let go, Jimmy would have flown right out the back of the house.

All of a sudden, Jimmy lifted off his feet. I thought he was gone. And then everything stopped. He landed on his feet. In those first quiet moments, I couldn’t believe it was over. Our neighbor says the storm lasted four minutes. In that time, four of the twelve town houses in our unit were completely destroyed. Amazingly, none of us were seriously injured.

【小题1】Where did the couple learn about the coming fierce weather?
A.From the dark sky.B.From the national station.
C.From the local news report.D.From the text sent by their neighbors.
【小题2】What can we infer from paragraph 2 about the couple?
A.They were hit by a tree branch.B.They tried to get out of the house.
C.Their garage was blown to pieces.D.Their house was badly destroyed.
【小题3】What do we know about Jimmy when the author reached the storeroom?
A.He was in great danger.B.He flew out of the house.
C.He was seriously injured.D.He got inside the storeroom.

Today:

A chilly (寒冷的) and frosty start for many this morning, followed by a day of sunshine and local showers. The showers will be slow moving and heavy at times, particularly in the east with a risk of thunder.

Tonight:

Showers will ease this evening and clear spells (一段时间) will develop causing a widespread frost. However, rain will push into the northwest during the early hours, turning heavy at times.

Friday:

Rain, locally heavy, will continue southeastwards through the day with strong winds. Elsewhere, it’ll be bright with some sunshine.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Rain across central parts on Saturday will ease and move northwards. Largely dry elsewhere with some misty sunshine. Mixture of sunshine and showers on Sunday and Monday, turning warmer.

Updated at: 0404 on Thu 31 Mar

UK 6-30 days

UK outlook for Tuesday 5 Apr to Wednesday 13 Apr:

A generally unsettled picture is likely next week, with showers or longer spells of rain affecting the majority of the UK, but with some drier and sunnier interludes (间歇). Temperatures will probably be around normal for most, but central and southeastern areas may see some warmer air moving up from the continent at times. The week after next will probably continue to be changeable with showers or longer spells of rain crossing the UK, but with some brighter and drier interludes in between. Temperatures may become rather low across the north and northwest later next week.

Updated at: 1236 on Wed 30 Mar

UK outlook for Thursday 14 Apr to Saturday 30 Apr:

It is likely to be changeable with a mixture of sunny spells and showers. However, some longer drier spells are also likely, particularly in northwestern areas. Overall temperatures will remain around normal for the time of year but with some warmer spells developing at times.

Updated at: 1237 on Wed 30 Mar

【小题1】Which of the following may best describe today’s weather in general?
A.Cold but fine.B.Cold and rainy.
C.Showers and thunder.D.Frosty and rainy.
【小题2】The weather of tonight is similar to Friday in that       .
A.it has strong windsB.it has frost
C.it has heavy rain.D.it is mainly sunny.
【小题3】What will the weather be like in Britain from April 5 to 13?
A.It will be quite dry.B.It will be rather cold.
C.It will be generally rainy.D.It will be hot in the north.

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